Live prediction market odds for Joao Fonseca vs. Alejandro Tabilo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-13
Joao Fonseca vs. Alejandro Tabilo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-13. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Joao Fonseca leads the “Joao Fonseca vs. Alejandro Tabilo” event at 57.0% implied probability, followed by Alejandro Tabilo at 43.5%. A 8.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Joao Fonseca vs. Alejandro Tabilo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Joao Fonseca leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alejandro Tabilo at 44%.
Joao Fonseca currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Joao Fonseca, Alejandro Tabilo at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 8.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Joao Fonseca: 61¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Alejandro Tabilo: 40¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 8.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Joao Fonseca will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Joao Fonseca
57.0% avg
