Live prediction market odds for Joao Fonseca vs. Jakub Mensik. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-02
Joao Fonseca vs. Jakub Mensik — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Joao Fonseca leads the “Joao Fonseca vs. Jakub Mensik” event at 65.3% implied probability, followed by Jakub Mensik at 35.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Joao Fonseca vs. Jakub Mensik is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Joao Fonseca leads at 65% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jakub Mensik at 35%.
Joao Fonseca currently leads at 65% implied probability. Behind Joao Fonseca, Jakub Mensik at 35% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Joao Fonseca: 66¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. Jakub Mensik: 35¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 65¢ means the market estimates a 65% probability that Joao Fonseca will be the outcome. Buying one share at 65¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 54% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jakub Mensik wins the Mensik vs Fonseca professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Mensik vs Fonseca professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Joao Fonseca in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Joao Fonseca. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Joao Fonseca
65.3% avg
