Live prediction market odds for Joao Fonseca vs. Jesper de Jong. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-01
Joao Fonseca vs. Jesper de Jong — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-07-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Joao Fonseca leads the “Joao Fonseca vs. Jesper de Jong” event at 83.5% implied probability, followed by Jesper de Jong at 17.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Joao Fonseca vs. Jesper de Jong is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Joao Fonseca leads at 84% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jesper de Jong at 18%.
Joao Fonseca currently leads at 84% implied probability. Behind Joao Fonseca, Jesper de Jong at 18% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Joao Fonseca: 84¢ on Kalshi, 83¢ on Polymarket. Jesper de Jong: 18¢ on Kalshi, 17¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 84¢ means the market estimates a 84% probability that Joao Fonseca will be the outcome. Buying one share at 84¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 19% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Joao Fonseca
83.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jesper De Jong wins the De Jong vs Fonseca professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the De Jong vs Fonseca professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Joao Fonseca in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' if Jesper de Jong advances against Joao Fonseca. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Jesper de Jong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
