Live prediction market odds for Joel Josef Schwaerzler vs. Daniel Merida. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Joel Josef Schwaerzler vs. Daniel Merida — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daniel Merida is priced at 67.3% implied probability for the “Joel Josef Schwaerzler vs. Daniel Merida” event. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Joel Josef Schwaerzler vs. Daniel Merida is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniel Merida leads at 67% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Daniel Merida currently leads at 67% implied probability. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniel Merida: 68¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 67¢ means the market estimates a 67% probability that Daniel Merida will be the outcome. Buying one share at 67¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 49% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Daniel Merida
67.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daniel Merida wins the Merida vs Schwaerzler professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Merida vs Schwaerzler professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Joel Schwaerzler in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 31 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Joel Schwaerzler. This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
