Live prediction market odds for Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Daniel Altmaier. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Daniel Altmaier — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads the “Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Daniel Altmaier” event at 55.5% implied probability, followed by Daniel Altmaier at 45.5%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Daniel Altmaier is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads at 56% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Daniel Altmaier at 46%.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo currently leads at 56% implied probability. Behind Juan Manuel Cerundolo, Daniel Altmaier at 46% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Juan Manuel Cerundolo: 58¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Daniel Altmaier: 44¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 56¢ means the market estimates a 56% probability that Juan Manuel Cerundolo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 56¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 79% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daniel Altmaier wins the Altmaier vs Cerundolo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Altmaier vs Cerundolo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Altmaier” if Daniel Altmaier wins the first set. It will resolve to “Cerundolo” if Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
55.5% avg
