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Live prediction market odds for Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon

2026-06-22

About This Market

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Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Raphael Collignon leads the “Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon” event at 80.0% implied probability, followed by Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 21.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
RC
Raphael CollignonARB
80% Avg
Kalshi81¢
Polymarket79¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
80.5%80¢81¢19¢20¢
PolymarketPolymarket
78.5%78¢79¢21¢22¢
JM
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
21% Avg
Kalshi21¢
Polymarket22¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
20.5%20¢21¢79¢80¢
PolymarketPolymarket
21.5%21¢22¢78¢79¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon" and why does it matter?

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Raphael Collignon leads at 80% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 21%.

What is moving the odds on "Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon"?

Raphael Collignon currently leads at 80% implied probability. Behind Raphael Collignon, Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 21% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Raphael Collignon: 81¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket. Juan Manuel Cerundolo: 21¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Raphael Collignon is at 80%?

A price of 80¢ means the market estimates a 80% probability that Raphael Collignon will be the outcome. Buying one share at 80¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 25% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Raphael Collignon

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the Collignon vs Cerundolo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Collignon vs Cerundolo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Raphael Collignon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Raphael Collignon

80.0% avg