Live prediction market odds for Juan Pablo Ficovich vs. Keegan Smith. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Juan Pablo Ficovich vs. Keegan Smith — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Keegan Smith leads the “Juan Pablo Ficovich vs. Keegan Smith” event at 61.8% implied probability, followed by Juan Pablo Ficovich at 38.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Juan Pablo Ficovich vs. Keegan Smith is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Keegan Smith leads at 62% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Juan Pablo Ficovich at 38%.
Keegan Smith currently leads at 62% implied probability. Behind Keegan Smith, Juan Pablo Ficovich at 38% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Keegan Smith: 63¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Juan Pablo Ficovich: 38¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 62¢ means the market estimates a 62% probability that Keegan Smith will be the outcome. Buying one share at 62¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 61% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Juan Pablo Ficovich wins the Smith vs Ficovich professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Smith vs Ficovich professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Juan Pablo Ficovich in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Juan Pablo Ficovich. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Ficovich' if Juan Pablo Ficovich advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Keegan Smith
61.8% avg
