Live prediction market odds for Jurij Rodionov vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-31
This market resolved on 2026-03-31. Nikoloz Basilashvili was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
Jurij Rodionov vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-31. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Nikoloz BasilashviliWINNER | 99% | 60% |
Jurij Rodionov | 1% | 41% |
Jurij Rodionov vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nikoloz Basilashvili led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Jurij Rodionov at 21%.
Nikoloz Basilashvili held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Nikoloz Basilashvili, Jurij Rodionov at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 39.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nikoloz Basilashvili: 99¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Jurij Rodionov: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 39.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that Nikoloz Basilashvili would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jurij Rodionov wins the Basilashvili vs Rodionov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Basilashvili vs Rodionov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Jurij Rodionov in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 31 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Jurij Rodionov. This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
79.3% avg
