Live prediction market odds for Jurij Rodionov vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-31
Jurij Rodionov vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-31. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Nikoloz Basilashvili leads the “Jurij Rodionov vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili” event at 79.3% implied probability, followed by Jurij Rodionov at 20.8%. A 39.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Jurij Rodionov vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nikoloz Basilashvili leads at 79% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jurij Rodionov at 21%.
Nikoloz Basilashvili currently leads at 79% implied probability. Behind Nikoloz Basilashvili, Jurij Rodionov at 21% are the next closest contenders. The 39.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nikoloz Basilashvili: 99¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Jurij Rodionov: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket. The 39.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ means the market estimates a 79% probability that Nikoloz Basilashvili will be the outcome. Buying one share at 79¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 27% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
79.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jurij Rodionov wins the Basilashvili vs Rodionov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Basilashvili vs Rodionov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Jurij Rodionov in the Bucharest Open, Qualification, scheduled for March 31 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Jurij Rodionov. This market will resolve to 'Jurij Rodionov' if Jurij Rodionov advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
