Live prediction market odds for Kamil Majchrzak vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Kamil Majchrzak vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads the “Kamil Majchrzak vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo” event at 25.5% implied probability, followed by Kamil Majchrzak at 74.5%. A 49.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Kamil Majchrzak vs. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads at 26% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kamil Majchrzak at 75%.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo currently leads at 26% implied probability. Behind Juan Manuel Cerundolo, Kamil Majchrzak at 75% are the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Juan Manuel Cerundolo: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Kamil Majchrzak: 99¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 26¢ means the market estimates a 26% probability that Juan Manuel Cerundolo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 26¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 285% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Juan Manuel Cerundolo
25.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the Cerundolo vs Majchrzak professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Cerundolo vs Majchrzak professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Kamil Majchrzak in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 30 2026. This market will resolve to “Cerundolo” if Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Majchrzak” if Kamil Majchrzak wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
