Live prediction market odds for Karen Khachanov vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-13
This market resolved on 2026-04-13. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
Karen Khachanov vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Camilo Ugo CarabelliWINNER | 99% | 35% |
Karen Khachanov | 1% | 65% |
Karen Khachanov vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Camilo Ugo Carabelli led the market at 67% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Karen Khachanov at 33%.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli held the lead at 67% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Karen Khachanov at 33% were the next closest contenders. The 64.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Camilo Ugo Carabelli: 99¢ on Kalshi, 35¢ on Polymarket. Karen Khachanov: 1¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket. The 64.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 67¢ meant the market estimated a 67% chance that Camilo Ugo Carabelli would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 67¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 49% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins the Ugo Carabelli vs Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Ugo Carabelli vs Khachanov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Karen Khachanov in the Barcelona Open, scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
67.0% avg
