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Live prediction market odds for Kyrian Jacquet vs. Nerman Fatic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Kyrian Jacquet vs. Nerman Fatic

2026-05-20

About This Market

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Kyrian Jacquet vs. Nerman Fatic — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Kyrian Jacquet leads the “Kyrian Jacquet vs. Nerman Fatic” event at 58.5% implied probability, followed by Nerman Fatic at 42.0%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
KJ
Kyrian JacquetARB
59% Avg
Kalshi60¢
Polymarket58¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
59.5%59¢60¢40¢41¢
PolymarketPolymarket
57.5%57¢58¢42¢43¢
NF
Nerman FaticARB
42% Avg
Kalshi41¢
Polymarket43¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
40.5%40¢41¢59¢60¢
PolymarketPolymarket
42.5%42¢43¢57¢58¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Kyrian Jacquet vs. Nerman Fatic" and why does it matter?

Kyrian Jacquet vs. Nerman Fatic is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Kyrian Jacquet leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Nerman Fatic at 42%.

What is moving the odds on "Kyrian Jacquet vs. Nerman Fatic"?

Kyrian Jacquet currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Kyrian Jacquet, Nerman Fatic at 42% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Kyrian Jacquet vs. Nerman Fatic" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Kyrian Jacquet: 60¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Nerman Fatic: 41¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Kyrian Jacquet is at 59%?

A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Kyrian Jacquet will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2

Market Rulebook: Kyrian Jacquet vs. Nerman Fatic

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Nerman Fatic wins the Fatic vs Jacquet professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Fatic vs Jacquet professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Nerman Fatic and Kyrian Jacquet in the Roland Garros, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for May 20, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nerman Fatic' if Nerman Fatic advances against Kyrian Jacquet. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Nerman Fatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Leader

Kyrian Jacquet

58.5% avg