Live prediction market odds for Lloyd Harris vs. Jaime Faria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Lloyd Harris vs. Jaime Faria — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jaime Faria leads the “Lloyd Harris vs. Jaime Faria” event at 58.8% implied probability, followed by Lloyd Harris at 40.8%. A 7.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Lloyd Harris vs. Jaime Faria is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jaime Faria leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lloyd Harris at 41%.
Jaime Faria currently leads at 59% implied probability. Behind Jaime Faria, Lloyd Harris at 41% are the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jaime Faria: 62¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Lloyd Harris: 37¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 7.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 59¢ means the market estimates a 59% probability that Jaime Faria will be the outcome. Buying one share at 59¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 69% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Jaime Faria
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jaime Faria wins the Faria vs Harris professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Faria vs Harris professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Lloyd Harris in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Faria” if Jaime Faria wins the first set. It will resolve to “Harris” if Lloyd Harris wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
58.8% avg
