Live prediction market odds for Lloyd Harris vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-29
This market resolved on 2026-03-29. Lloyd Harris was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
Lloyd Harris vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-29. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Lloyd HarrisWINNER | 99% | 58% |
Pierre-Hugues Herbert | 1% | 43% |
Lloyd Harris vs. Pierre-Hugues Herbert was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lloyd Harris led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Pierre-Hugues Herbert at 22%.
Lloyd Harris held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Lloyd Harris, Pierre-Hugues Herbert at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Lloyd Harris: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Pierre-Hugues Herbert: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Lloyd Harris would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Pierre-Hugues Herbert wins the Herbert vs Harris professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Herbert vs Harris professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Pierre-Hugues Herbert and Lloyd Harris in the Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification, scheduled for March 29 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pierre-Hugues Herbert' if Pierre-Hugues Herbert advances against Lloyd Harris. This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Pierre-Hugues Herbert. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Lloyd Harris
78.3% avg
