Live prediction market odds for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Arthur Fils. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-17
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Arthur Fils — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Lorenzo Musetti leads the “Lorenzo Musetti vs. Arthur Fils” event at 51.3% implied probability, followed by Arthur Fils at 49.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Arthur Fils is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lorenzo Musetti leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Arthur Fils at 49%.
Lorenzo Musetti currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Lorenzo Musetti, Arthur Fils at 49% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Lorenzo Musetti: 52¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Arthur Fils: 50¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Lorenzo Musetti will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Lorenzo Musetti
51.3% avg
