Live prediction market odds for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Jiri Lehecka. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-28
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Jiri Lehecka — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-28. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Lorenzo Musetti leads the “Lorenzo Musetti vs. Jiri Lehecka” event at 31.0% implied probability, followed by Jiri Lehecka at 69.0%. A 60.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Jiri Lehecka is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lorenzo Musetti leads at 31% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Jiri Lehecka at 69%.
Lorenzo Musetti currently leads at 31% implied probability. Behind Lorenzo Musetti, Jiri Lehecka at 69% are the next closest contenders. The 60.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Lorenzo Musetti: 1¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Jiri Lehecka: 99¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. The 60.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 31¢ means the market estimates a 31% probability that Lorenzo Musetti will be the outcome. Buying one share at 31¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 223% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Lorenzo Musetti wins the Lehecka vs Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Lehecka vs Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Lorenzo Musetti
31.0% avg
