Live prediction market odds for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Martin Landaluce. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-13
This market resolved on 2026-04-13. Lorenzo Musetti was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Martin Landaluce — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Lorenzo MusettiWINNER | 99% | 78% |
Martin Landaluce | 1% | 22% |
Lorenzo Musetti vs. Martin Landaluce was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lorenzo Musetti led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Martin Landaluce at 12%.
Lorenzo Musetti held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Lorenzo Musetti, Martin Landaluce at 12% were the next closest contenders. The 21.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Lorenzo Musetti: 99¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket. Martin Landaluce: 1¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 21.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Lorenzo Musetti would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Lorenzo Musetti wins the Landaluce vs Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Landaluce vs Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Barcelona Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Lorenzo Musetti in the Barcelona Open, scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Martin Landaluce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Lorenzo Musetti
88.5% avg
