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Live prediction market odds for Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ben Shelton. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ben Shelton

2026-06-17

About This Market

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Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ben Shelton — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-17. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Ben Shelton leads the “Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ben Shelton” event at 75.0% implied probability, followed by Lorenzo Sonego at 25.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
BS
Ben SheltonARB
75% Avg
Kalshi76¢
Polymarket74¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
75.5%75¢76¢24¢25¢
PolymarketPolymarket
73.5%73¢74¢26¢27¢
LS
Lorenzo Sonego
26% Avg
Kalshi26¢
Polymarket27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
25.5%25¢26¢74¢75¢
PolymarketPolymarket
26.5%26¢27¢73¢74¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ben Shelton" and why does it matter?

Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ben Shelton is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ben Shelton leads at 75% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lorenzo Sonego at 26%.

What is moving the odds on "Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ben Shelton"?

Ben Shelton currently leads at 75% implied probability. Behind Ben Shelton, Lorenzo Sonego at 26% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.

What are the current odds for "Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ben Shelton" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ben Shelton: 76¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket. Lorenzo Sonego: 25¢ on Kalshi, 26¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.

What does it mean that Ben Shelton is at 75%?

A price of 75¢ means the market estimates a 75% probability that Ben Shelton will be the outcome. Buying one share at 75¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 33% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Stats

Market Rulebook: Lorenzo Sonego vs. Ben Shelton

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Lorenzo Sonego wins the Shelton vs Sonego professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Shelton vs Sonego professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Halle Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Lorenzo Sonego in the Halle Open, originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Lorenzo Sonego. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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Spread2.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Leader

Ben Shelton

75.0% avg