Live prediction market odds for Lorenzo Sonego vs. Mariano Navone. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-21
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Mariano Navone — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Lorenzo Sonego leads the “Lorenzo Sonego vs. Mariano Navone” event at 53.0% implied probability, followed by Mariano Navone at 47.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Mariano Navone is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lorenzo Sonego leads at 53% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mariano Navone at 47%.
Lorenzo Sonego currently leads at 53% implied probability. Behind Lorenzo Sonego, Mariano Navone at 47% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Lorenzo Sonego: 53¢ on Kalshi, 53¢ on Polymarket. Mariano Navone: 47¢ on Kalshi, 47¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 53¢ means the market estimates a 53% probability that Lorenzo Sonego will be the outcome. Buying one share at 53¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 89% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Mariano Navone wins the Navone vs Sonego professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Navone vs Sonego professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Mallorca Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Lorenzo Sonego in the Mallorca Championships, originally scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Lorenzo Sonego. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Lorenzo Sonego
53.0% avg
