Live prediction market odds for Lorenzo Sonego vs. Pedro Martinez. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-14
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Pedro Martinez — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-14. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pedro Martinez leads the “Lorenzo Sonego vs. Pedro Martinez” event at 57.0% implied probability, followed by Lorenzo Sonego at 46.3%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Pedro Martinez is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pedro Martinez leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Lorenzo Sonego at 46%.
Pedro Martinez currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Pedro Martinez, Lorenzo Sonego at 46% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pedro Martinez: 59¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket. Lorenzo Sonego: 48¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Pedro Martinez will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Pedro Martinez
57.0% avg
