Live prediction market odds for Luciano Darderi vs. Ethan Quinn. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Luciano Darderi vs. Ethan Quinn — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Ethan Quinn leads the “Luciano Darderi vs. Ethan Quinn” event at 60.5% implied probability, followed by Luciano Darderi at 39.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Luciano Darderi vs. Ethan Quinn is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ethan Quinn leads at 61% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Luciano Darderi at 39%.
Ethan Quinn currently leads at 61% implied probability. Behind Ethan Quinn, Luciano Darderi at 39% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ethan Quinn: 60¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket. Luciano Darderi: 39¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 61¢ means the market estimates a 61% probability that Ethan Quinn will be the outcome. Buying one share at 61¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 64% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Ethan Quinn
60.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Luciano Darderi wins the Quinn vs Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Quinn vs Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Ethan Quinn and Luciano Darderi in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Quinn' if Ethan Quinn advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Ethan Quinn. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
