Live prediction market odds for Luciano Darderi vs. Francisco Cerundolo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-27
Luciano Darderi vs. Francisco Cerundolo — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-27. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Francisco Cerundolo leads the “Luciano Darderi vs. Francisco Cerundolo” event at 66.3% implied probability, followed by Luciano Darderi at 33.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Luciano Darderi vs. Francisco Cerundolo is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Francisco Cerundolo leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Luciano Darderi at 34%.
Francisco Cerundolo currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Francisco Cerundolo, Luciano Darderi at 34% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Francisco Cerundolo: 66¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Luciano Darderi: 34¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Francisco Cerundolo will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Francisco Cerundolo
66.3% avg
