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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Luciano Darderi Wins: Luciano Darderi vs. Rafael Jodar

Resolved 2026-05-13

This market resolved on 2026-05-13. Luciano Darderi was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

Luciano Darderi vs. Rafael Jodar — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-05-13. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Market Rulebook: Luciano Darderi vs. Rafael Jodar

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If Rafael Jodar wins the Jodar vs Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Rome Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Jodar vs Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Rome Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Polymarket

Primary Rule

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Luciano Darderi in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Candidate
Luciano DarderiWINNER	99%	97%
Rafael Jodar	1%	4%

Kalshi

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Luciano Darderi Wins: Luciano Darderi vs. Rafael Jodar

About This Market

Price History

Kalshi

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Final Closing Odds

Frequently Asked Questions

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Luciano Darderi vs. Rafael Jodar