Live prediction market odds for Luciano Darderi vs. Rafael Jodar. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-13
Luciano Darderi vs. Rafael Jodar — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-13. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Rafael Jodar leads the “Luciano Darderi vs. Rafael Jodar” event at 68.5% implied probability, followed by Luciano Darderi at 31.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Luciano Darderi vs. Rafael Jodar is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Rafael Jodar leads at 69% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Luciano Darderi at 32%.
Rafael Jodar currently leads at 69% implied probability. Behind Rafael Jodar, Luciano Darderi at 32% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Rafael Jodar: 68¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Luciano Darderi: 32¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 69¢ means the market estimates a 69% probability that Rafael Jodar will be the outcome. Buying one share at 69¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 45% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Rafael Jodar
68.5% avg
