Live prediction market odds for Luciano Darderi vs. Sebastian Ofner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-24
Luciano Darderi vs. Sebastian Ofner — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Luciano Darderi leads the “Luciano Darderi vs. Sebastian Ofner” event at 74.0% implied probability, followed by Sebastian Ofner at 26.5%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Luciano Darderi vs. Sebastian Ofner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Luciano Darderi leads at 74% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sebastian Ofner at 27%.
Luciano Darderi currently leads at 74% implied probability. Behind Luciano Darderi, Sebastian Ofner at 27% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Luciano Darderi: 75¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Sebastian Ofner: 26¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 74¢ means the market estimates a 74% probability that Luciano Darderi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 74¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 35% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Sebastian Ofner wins the Ofner vs Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Ofner vs Darderi professional tennis match in the 2026 French Open Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Ofner and Luciano Darderi in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Sebastian Ofner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Luciano Darderi
74.0% avg
