Live prediction market odds for Luka Mikrut vs. Stefano Travaglia. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-22
Luka Mikrut vs. Stefano Travaglia — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Stefano Travaglia leads the “Luka Mikrut vs. Stefano Travaglia” event at 60.3% implied probability, followed by Luka Mikrut at 39.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Luka Mikrut vs. Stefano Travaglia is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Stefano Travaglia leads at 60% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Luka Mikrut at 40%.
Stefano Travaglia currently leads at 60% implied probability. Behind Stefano Travaglia, Luka Mikrut at 40% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Stefano Travaglia: 61¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket. Luka Mikrut: 39¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 60¢ means the market estimates a 60% probability that Stefano Travaglia will be the outcome. Buying one share at 60¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 67% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Stefano Travaglia wins the Travaglia vs Mikrut professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Travaglia vs Mikrut professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Stefano Travaglia and Luka Mikrut in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Stefano Travaglia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Stefano Travaglia
60.3% avg
