Live prediction market odds for Luka Pavlovic vs. Jaime Faria. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-24
Luka Pavlovic vs. Jaime Faria — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-24. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Jaime Faria leads the “Luka Pavlovic vs. Jaime Faria” event at 71.3% implied probability, followed by Luka Pavlovic at 30.0%. A 6.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Luka Pavlovic vs. Jaime Faria is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jaime Faria leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Luka Pavlovic at 30%.
Jaime Faria currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Jaime Faria, Luka Pavlovic at 30% are the next closest contenders. The 6.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jaime Faria: 70¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket. Luka Pavlovic: 33¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket. The 6.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Jaime Faria will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Jaime Faria wins the Faria vs Pavlovic professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Faria vs Pavlovic professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Luka Pavlovic in the Wimbledon, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Luka Pavlovic. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jaime Faria
71.3% avg
