Live prediction market odds for Mackenzie McDonald vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-01
Mackenzie McDonald vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Thiago Agustin Tirante leads the “Mackenzie McDonald vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante” event at 65.5% implied probability, followed by Mackenzie McDonald at 35.0%. A 5.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mackenzie McDonald vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Thiago Agustin Tirante leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mackenzie McDonald at 35%.
Thiago Agustin Tirante currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Thiago Agustin Tirante, Mackenzie McDonald at 35% are the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Thiago Agustin Tirante: 68¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. Mackenzie McDonald: 33¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Thiago Agustin Tirante will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
65.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Thiago Agustin Tirante wins the Tirante vs McDonald professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tirante vs McDonald professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Houston Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Mackenzie McDonald in the US Men's Clay Court Championships, scheduled for April 1 2026. This market will resolve to “Tirante” if Thiago Agustin Tirante wins the first set. It will resolve to “McDonald” if Mackenzie McDonald wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
