Live prediction market odds for Marc Polmans vs. Benjamin Bonzi. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-06
Marc Polmans vs. Benjamin Bonzi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-06. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Benjamin Bonzi leads the “Marc Polmans vs. Benjamin Bonzi” event at 85.3% implied probability, followed by Marc Polmans at 14.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Marc Polmans vs. Benjamin Bonzi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Benjamin Bonzi leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marc Polmans at 15%.
Benjamin Bonzi currently leads at 85% implied probability. Behind Benjamin Bonzi, Marc Polmans at 15% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Benjamin Bonzi: 85¢ on Kalshi, 86¢ on Polymarket. Marc Polmans: 15¢ on Kalshi, 15¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 85¢ means the market estimates a 85% probability that Benjamin Bonzi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 85¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 18% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Benjamin Bonzi wins the Bonzi vs Polmans professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bonzi vs Polmans professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Marc Polmans in the Libema Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 8:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Marc Polmans. This market will resolve to 'Marc Polmans' if Marc Polmans advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Benjamin Bonzi
85.3% avg
$50K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow
