Live prediction market odds for Marco Trungelliti vs. Corentin Moutet. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-03
Marco Trungelliti vs. Corentin Moutet — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Corentin Moutet leads the “Marco Trungelliti vs. Corentin Moutet” event at 69.8% implied probability, followed by Marco Trungelliti at 30.8%. A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Marco Trungelliti vs. Corentin Moutet is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Corentin Moutet leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marco Trungelliti at 31%.
Corentin Moutet currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Corentin Moutet, Marco Trungelliti at 31% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Corentin Moutet: 71¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. Marco Trungelliti: 30¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. The 2.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Corentin Moutet will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Corentin Moutet
69.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Corentin Moutet wins the Moutet vs Trungelliti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Moutet vs Trungelliti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Marco Trungelliti in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for April 3 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Corentin Moutet' if Corentin Moutet advances against Marco Trungelliti. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Corentin Moutet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
