Live prediction market odds for Marco Trungelliti vs. Felix Gill. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-20
Marco Trungelliti vs. Felix Gill — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Felix Gill leads the “Marco Trungelliti vs. Felix Gill” event at 52.0% implied probability, followed by Marco Trungelliti at 48.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Marco Trungelliti vs. Felix Gill is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Felix Gill leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marco Trungelliti at 48%.
Felix Gill currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Felix Gill, Marco Trungelliti at 48% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Felix Gill: 53¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. Marco Trungelliti: 48¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Felix Gill will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Felix Gill wins the Gill vs Trungelliti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Gill vs Trungelliti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Felix Gill and Marco Trungelliti in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Marco Trungelliti. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Felix Gill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Felix Gill
52.0% avg
