Live prediction market odds for Marco Trungelliti vs. Henrique Rocha. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-01
Marco Trungelliti vs. Henrique Rocha — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Henrique Rocha leads the “Marco Trungelliti vs. Henrique Rocha” event at 29.0% implied probability, followed by Marco Trungelliti at 71.0%. A 56.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Marco Trungelliti vs. Henrique Rocha is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Henrique Rocha leads at 29% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marco Trungelliti at 71%.
Henrique Rocha currently leads at 29% implied probability. Behind Henrique Rocha, Marco Trungelliti at 71% are the next closest contenders. The 56.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Henrique Rocha: 1¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Marco Trungelliti: 99¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 56.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 29¢ means the market estimates a 29% probability that Henrique Rocha will be the outcome. Buying one share at 29¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 245% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Henrique Rocha
29.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Henrique Rocha wins the Rocha vs Trungelliti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Rocha vs Trungelliti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Henrique Rocha and Marco Trungelliti in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 31 2026. This market will resolve to “Rocha” if Henrique Rocha wins the first set. It will resolve to “Trungelliti” if Marco Trungelliti wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
