Live prediction market odds for Marco Trungelliti vs. Luciano Darderi. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2026-04-04
Marco Trungelliti vs. Luciano Darderi — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Luciano Darderi leads the “Marco Trungelliti vs. Luciano Darderi” event at 78.0% implied probability, followed by Marco Trungelliti at 23.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Marco Trungelliti vs. Luciano Darderi is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Luciano Darderi leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marco Trungelliti at 23%.
Luciano Darderi currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Luciano Darderi, Marco Trungelliti at 23% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Luciano Darderi: 78¢ on Kalshi. Marco Trungelliti: 23¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 78¢ means the market estimates a 78% probability that Luciano Darderi will be the outcome. Buying one share at 78¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 28% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Luciano Darderi
78.0% avg
