Live prediction market odds for Marcos Giron vs. Quentin Halys. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-02
Marcos Giron vs. Quentin Halys — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-07-02. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Marcos Giron leads the “Marcos Giron vs. Quentin Halys” event at 50.5% implied probability, followed by Quentin Halys at 50.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Marcos Giron vs. Quentin Halys is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marcos Giron leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Quentin Halys at 50%.
Marcos Giron currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Marcos Giron, Quentin Halys at 50% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marcos Giron: 50¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Quentin Halys: 51¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Marcos Giron will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Marcos Giron
50.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marcos Giron wins the Halys vs Giron professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Halys vs Giron professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Quentin Halys and Marcos Giron in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Marcos Giron. This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Quentin Halys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
