Live prediction market odds for Marcos Giron vs. Yannick Hanfmann. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-23
This market resolved on 2026-04-23. Yannick Hanfmann was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Marcos Giron vs. Yannick Hanfmann — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Yannick HanfmannWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Marcos Giron | 1% | 0% |
Marcos Giron vs. Yannick Hanfmann was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Yannick Hanfmann led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Marcos Giron at 1%.
Yannick Hanfmann held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Yannick Hanfmann, Marcos Giron at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Yannick Hanfmann: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Marcos Giron: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Yannick Hanfmann would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Yannick Hanfmann
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Yannick Hanfmann wins the Hanfmann vs Giron professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Hanfmann vs Giron professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Marcos Giron in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Hanfmann” if Yannick Hanfmann wins the first set. It will resolve to “Giron” if Marcos Giron wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
