Live prediction market odds for Mariano Navone vs. Alex Molcan. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-03
Mariano Navone vs. Alex Molcan — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-03. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Mariano Navone leads the “Mariano Navone vs. Alex Molcan” event at 69.8% implied probability, followed by Alex Molcan at 30.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Mariano Navone vs. Alex Molcan is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mariano Navone leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Alex Molcan at 30%.
Mariano Navone currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Mariano Navone, Alex Molcan at 30% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mariano Navone: 70¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket. Alex Molcan: 30¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Mariano Navone will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Mariano Navone
69.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alex Molcan wins the Molcan vs Navone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Molcan vs Navone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bucharest Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Mariano Navone in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for April 2 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
