Live prediction market odds for Mariano Navone vs. Nuno Borges. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Mariano Navone vs. Nuno Borges — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Mariano Navone leads the “Mariano Navone vs. Nuno Borges” event at 63.0% implied probability, followed by Nuno Borges at 38.0%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mariano Navone vs. Nuno Borges is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Mariano Navone leads at 63% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Nuno Borges at 38%.
Mariano Navone currently leads at 63% implied probability. Behind Mariano Navone, Nuno Borges at 38% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Mariano Navone: 64¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket. Nuno Borges: 38¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 63¢ means the market estimates a 63% probability that Mariano Navone will be the outcome. Buying one share at 63¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 59% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Nuno Borges wins the Borges vs Navone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Borges vs Navone professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Mariano Navone in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mariano Navone
63.0% avg
