Live prediction market odds for Marin Cilic vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-08
This market resolved on 2026-04-08. Felix Auger-Aliassime was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Marin Cilic vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Felix Auger-AliassimeWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Marin Cilic | 1% | 0% |
Marin Cilic vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Felix Auger-Aliassime led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Marin Cilic at 1%.
Felix Auger-Aliassime held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Felix Auger-Aliassime, Marin Cilic at 1% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Felix Auger-Aliassime: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Marin Cilic: 1¢ on Kalshi, 0¢ on Polymarket. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Felix Auger-Aliassime would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marin Cilic wins the Auger-Aliassime vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Auger-Aliassime vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marin Cilic in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
99.5% avg
