Live prediction market odds for Marin Cilic vs. Nuno Borges. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-10
Marin Cilic vs. Nuno Borges — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-10. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Nuno Borges leads the “Marin Cilic vs. Nuno Borges” event at 65.5% implied probability, followed by Marin Cilic at 35.0%. A 35.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Marin Cilic vs. Nuno Borges is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nuno Borges leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marin Cilic at 35%.
Nuno Borges currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Nuno Borges, Marin Cilic at 35% are the next closest contenders. The 35.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Nuno Borges: 83¢ on Kalshi, 48¢ on Polymarket. Marin Cilic: 18¢ on Kalshi, 52¢ on Polymarket. The 35.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 66¢ means the market estimates a 66% probability that Nuno Borges will be the outcome. Buying one share at 66¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 52% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marin Cilic wins the Borges vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Borges vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP S-Hertogenbosch Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Marin Cilic in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nuno Borges
65.5% avg
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