Live prediction market odds for Marin Cilic vs. Zizou Bergs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Marin Cilic vs. Zizou Bergs — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Marin Cilic leads the “Marin Cilic vs. Zizou Bergs” event at 51.5% implied probability, followed by Zizou Bergs at 49.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Marin Cilic vs. Zizou Bergs is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Marin Cilic leads at 52% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Zizou Bergs at 49%.
Marin Cilic currently leads at 52% implied probability. Behind Marin Cilic, Zizou Bergs at 49% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Marin Cilic: 52¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Zizou Bergs: 50¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 52¢ means the market estimates a 52% probability that Marin Cilic will be the outcome. Buying one share at 52¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 92% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marin Cilic wins the Bergs vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bergs vs Cilic professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Marin Cilic in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Zizou Bergs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marin Cilic
51.5% avg
