Live prediction market odds for Martin Damm vs. Alexei Popyrin. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-23
Martin Damm vs. Alexei Popyrin — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Alexei Popyrin is priced at 67.0% implied probability for the “Martin Damm vs. Alexei Popyrin” event. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Martin Damm vs. Alexei Popyrin is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Alexei Popyrin leads at 67% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Alexei Popyrin currently leads at 67% implied probability. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Alexei Popyrin: 66¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 67¢ means the market estimates a 67% probability that Alexei Popyrin will be the outcome. Buying one share at 67¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 49% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Alexei Popyrin wins the Popyrin vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Popyrin vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Martin Damm in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexei Popyrin' if Alexei Popyrin advances against Martin Damm. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Alexei Popyrin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alexei Popyrin
67.0% avg
