Live prediction market odds for Martin Damm vs. Andrea Pellegrino. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-20
Martin Damm vs. Andrea Pellegrino — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-20. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Andrea Pellegrino is priced at 49.3% implied probability for the “Martin Damm vs. Andrea Pellegrino” event. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Martin Damm vs. Andrea Pellegrino is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Andrea Pellegrino leads at 49% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Andrea Pellegrino currently leads at 49% implied probability. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Andrea Pellegrino: 50¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 49¢ means the market estimates a 49% probability that Andrea Pellegrino will be the outcome. Buying one share at 49¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 104% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Andrea Pellegrino
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Andrea Pellegrino wins the Pellegrino vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Pellegrino vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Pellegrino and Martin Damm in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Pellegrino” if Andrea Pellegrino wins the first set. It will resolve to “Damm” if Martin Damm wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
49.3% avg
