Live prediction market odds for Martin Damm vs. Arthur Rinderknech. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-01
Martin Damm vs. Arthur Rinderknech — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-07-01. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Arthur Rinderknech leads the “Martin Damm vs. Arthur Rinderknech” event at 58.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Martin Damm (43.0%), and Martin Damm Jr (42.5%). A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Martin Damm vs. Arthur Rinderknech is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arthur Rinderknech leads at 58% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Martin Damm at 43%, Martin Damm Jr at 43%.
Arthur Rinderknech currently leads at 58% implied probability. Behind Arthur Rinderknech, Martin Damm at 43% and Martin Damm Jr at 43% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arthur Rinderknech: 59¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Martin Damm: 43¢ on Polymarket. Martin Damm Jr: 43¢ on Kalshi. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 58¢ means the market estimates a 58% probability that Arthur Rinderknech will be the outcome. Buying one share at 58¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 72% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Arthur Rinderknech
58.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arthur Rinderknech wins the Rinderknech vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Rinderknech vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Martin Damm in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Martin Damm. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
