Live prediction market odds for Martin Damm vs. Cristian Garin. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-21
Martin Damm vs. Cristian Garin — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-21. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Cristian Garin is priced at 70.0% implied probability for the “Martin Damm vs. Cristian Garin” event. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Martin Damm vs. Cristian Garin is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cristian Garin leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Cristian Garin currently leads at 70% implied probability. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Cristian Garin: 71¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket. The 2.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Cristian Garin will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Cristian Garin wins the Garin vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Garin vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Cristian Garin and Martin Damm in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cristian Garin' if Cristian Garin advances against Martin Damm. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Cristian Garin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cristian Garin
70.0% avg
