Live prediction market odds for Martin Damm vs. Marco Trungelliti. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-29
Martin Damm vs. Marco Trungelliti — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-06-29. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Martin Damm Jr leads the “Martin Damm vs. Marco Trungelliti” event at 78.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Martin Damm (75.5%), and Marco Trungelliti (23.8%). A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Martin Damm vs. Marco Trungelliti is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Martin Damm Jr leads at 78% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Martin Damm at 76%, Marco Trungelliti at 24%.
Martin Damm Jr currently leads at 78% implied probability. Behind Martin Damm Jr, Martin Damm at 76% and Marco Trungelliti at 24% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Martin Damm Jr: 78¢ on Kalshi. Martin Damm: 76¢ on Polymarket. Marco Trungelliti: 23¢ on Kalshi, 25¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 78¢ means the market estimates a 78% probability that Martin Damm Jr will be the outcome. Buying one share at 78¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 28% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Martin Damm Jr
78.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marco Trungelliti wins the Trungelliti vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Trungelliti vs Damm Jr professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Martin Damm in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Martin Damm. This market will resolve to 'Martin Damm' if Martin Damm advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
