Live prediction market odds for Martin Damm vs. Pablo Carreno Busta. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-04
Martin Damm vs. Pablo Carreno Busta — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pablo Carreno Busta is priced at 67.3% implied probability for the “Martin Damm vs. Pablo Carreno Busta” event. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Martin Damm vs. Pablo Carreno Busta is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pablo Carreno Busta leads at 67% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Pablo Carreno Busta currently leads at 67% implied probability. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pablo Carreno Busta: 68¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 67¢ means the market estimates a 67% probability that Pablo Carreno Busta will be the outcome. Buying one share at 67¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 49% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pablo Carreno Busta
67.3% avg
