Live prediction market odds for Marton Fucsovics vs. Pablo Carreno Busta. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-23
Marton Fucsovics vs. Pablo Carreno Busta — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-23. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads the “Marton Fucsovics vs. Pablo Carreno Busta” event at 51.0% implied probability, followed by Marton Fucsovics at 49.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Marton Fucsovics vs. Pablo Carreno Busta is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Pablo Carreno Busta leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Marton Fucsovics at 50%.
Pablo Carreno Busta currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Pablo Carreno Busta, Marton Fucsovics at 50% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Pablo Carreno Busta: 51¢ on Kalshi, 51¢ on Polymarket. Marton Fucsovics: 50¢ on Kalshi, 49¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Pablo Carreno Busta will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Pablo Carreno Busta
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Marton Fucsovics wins the Carreno Busta vs Fucsovics professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Carreno Busta vs Fucsovics professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Marton Fucsovics in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Busta” if Pablo Carreno Busta wins the first set. It will resolve to “Fucsovics” if Marton Fucsovics wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
51.0% avg
