Live prediction market odds for Matteo Berrettini vs. Daniil Medvedev. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-08
Matteo Berrettini vs. Daniil Medvedev — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-08. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Daniil Medvedev leads the “Matteo Berrettini vs. Daniil Medvedev” event at 56.5% implied probability, followed by Matteo Berrettini at 43.5%. A 25.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Daniil Medvedev is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Daniil Medvedev leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Matteo Berrettini at 44%.
Daniil Medvedev currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Daniil Medvedev, Matteo Berrettini at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 25.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Daniil Medvedev: 69¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. Matteo Berrettini: 31¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. The 25.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Daniil Medvedev will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Daniil Medvedev
56.5% avg
