Live prediction market odds for Matteo Berrettini vs. Daniil Medvedev. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-08
This market resolved on 2026-04-08. Matteo Berrettini was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Daniil Medvedev — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-04-08. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Matteo BerrettiniWINNER | 99% | 57% |
Daniil Medvedev | 1% | 44% |
Matteo Berrettini vs. Daniil Medvedev was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Matteo Berrettini led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Daniil Medvedev at 22%.
Matteo Berrettini held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Matteo Berrettini, Daniil Medvedev at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 42.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Matteo Berrettini: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket. Daniil Medvedev: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 42.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Matteo Berrettini would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Matteo Berrettini
77.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Daniil Medvedev wins the Medvedev vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Medvedev vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Berrettini in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 8 2026. This market will resolve to "Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins by 2 or more sets than Matteo Berrettini, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Berrettini." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
