Live prediction market odds for Matteo Berrettini vs. Ignacio Buse. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-30
Matteo Berrettini vs. Ignacio Buse — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-03-30. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Matteo Berrettini leads the “Matteo Berrettini vs. Ignacio Buse” event at 32.3% implied probability, followed by Ignacio Buse at 67.8%. A 62.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Ignacio Buse is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Matteo Berrettini leads at 32% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Ignacio Buse at 68%.
Matteo Berrettini currently leads at 32% implied probability. Behind Matteo Berrettini, Ignacio Buse at 68% are the next closest contenders. The 62.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Matteo Berrettini: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. Ignacio Buse: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. The 62.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 32¢ means the market estimates a 32% probability that Matteo Berrettini will be the outcome. Buying one share at 32¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 213% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Matteo Berrettini
32.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ignacio Buse wins the Buse vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Buse vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Matteo Berrettini in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Matteo Berrettini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Ignacio Buse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
