Live prediction market odds for Matteo Berrettini vs. Ignacio Buse. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-30
This market resolved on 2026-03-30. Ignacio Buse was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 68%.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Ignacio Buse — ATP Tennis match held on 2026-03-30. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Ignacio BuseWINNER | 99% | 37% |
Matteo Berrettini | 1% | 64% |
Matteo Berrettini vs. Ignacio Buse was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ignacio Buse led the market at 68% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Matteo Berrettini at 32%.
Ignacio Buse held the lead at 68% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Ignacio Buse, Matteo Berrettini at 32% were the next closest contenders. The 62.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Ignacio Buse: 99¢ on Kalshi, 37¢ on Polymarket. Matteo Berrettini: 1¢ on Kalshi, 64¢ on Polymarket. The 62.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 68¢ meant the market estimated a 68% chance that Ignacio Buse would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 68¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 47% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ignacio Buse wins the Buse vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Buse vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Marrakech Round Of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers on the tennis match between Ignacio Buse and Matteo Berrettini in the Grand Prix Hassan II, scheduled for March 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ignacio Buse' if Ignacio Buse advances against Matteo Berrettini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Ignacio Buse. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ignacio Buse
67.8% avg
