Live prediction market odds for Matteo Berrettini vs. Raphael Collignon. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Matteo Berrettini vs. Raphael Collignon — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Raphael Collignon leads the “Matteo Berrettini vs. Raphael Collignon” event at 50.5% implied probability, followed by Matteo Berrettini at 50.0%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Raphael Collignon is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Raphael Collignon leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Matteo Berrettini at 50%.
Raphael Collignon currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind Raphael Collignon, Matteo Berrettini at 50% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Raphael Collignon: 51¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Matteo Berrettini: 50¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that Raphael Collignon will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Raphael Collignon
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Raphael Collignon wins the Collignon vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Collignon vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Raphael Collignon and Matteo Berrettini in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Collignon” if Raphael Collignon wins the first set. It will resolve to “Berrettini” if Matteo Berrettini wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
50.5% avg
