Live prediction market odds for Matteo Berrettini vs. Roberto Bautista Agut. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-07
Matteo Berrettini vs. Roberto Bautista Agut — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-07. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Roberto Bautista Agut leads the “Matteo Berrettini vs. Roberto Bautista Agut” event at 27.5% implied probability, followed by Matteo Berrettini at 72.5%. A 53.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Matteo Berrettini vs. Roberto Bautista Agut is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Roberto Bautista Agut leads at 28% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Matteo Berrettini at 73%.
Roberto Bautista Agut currently leads at 28% implied probability. Behind Roberto Bautista Agut, Matteo Berrettini at 73% are the next closest contenders. The 53.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Roberto Bautista Agut: 1¢ on Kalshi, 54¢ on Polymarket. Matteo Berrettini: 99¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket. The 53.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 28¢ means the market estimates a 28% probability that Roberto Bautista Agut will be the outcome. Buying one share at 28¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 257% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Matteo Berrettini wins the Bautista Agut vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Bautista Agut vs Berrettini professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Monte Carlo Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Roberto Bautista Agut in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 7 2026. This market will resolve to "Berrettini" if Matteo Berrettini wins by 2 or more sets than Roberto Bautista Agut, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Agut." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Roberto Bautista Agut
27.5% avg
