Live prediction market odds for Mattia Bellucci vs. Damir Dzumhur. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-22
Mattia Bellucci vs. Damir Dzumhur — ATP Tennis match scheduled for 2026-04-22. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Damir Dzumhur leads the “Mattia Bellucci vs. Damir Dzumhur” event at 56.5% implied probability, followed by Mattia Bellucci at 43.8%. A 19.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Mattia Bellucci vs. Damir Dzumhur is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Damir Dzumhur leads at 57% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mattia Bellucci at 44%.
Damir Dzumhur currently leads at 57% implied probability. Behind Damir Dzumhur, Mattia Bellucci at 44% are the next closest contenders. The 19.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Damir Dzumhur: 47¢ on Kalshi, 66¢ on Polymarket. Mattia Bellucci: 54¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket. The 19.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 57¢ means the market estimates a 57% probability that Damir Dzumhur will be the outcome. Buying one share at 57¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 75% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Damir Dzumhur
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Damir Dzumhur wins the Dzumhur vs Bellucci professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Dzumhur vs Bellucci professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Madrid Round Of 128 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks).
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Damir Dzumhur in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bellucci" if Mattia Bellucci wins by 2 or more sets than Damir Dzumhur, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Dzumhur." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
56.5% avg
